灰色稳健总体最小二乘估计及高铁路基变形预测     

陈洋  文鸿雁  覃辉  王清涛  周吕 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(2):140-146

最小二乘估计和部分变量误差模型的总体最小二乘估计不具备抵御粗差的能力。鉴于粗差可能同时出现在灰色白化微分方程的观测值和系数矩阵中，本文提出基于IGGⅢ抗差方案的部分变量总体最小二乘稳健估计。结合仿真数据和高铁路基观测数据，系统地比较稳健最小二乘、部分变量总体最小二乘、本文算法参数估计结果和算法稳定性。结果表明，本文算法预测精度高，可以应用到高铁路基沉降预测中。  相似文献   

Biotic drivers of river and floodplain geomorphology – New molecular methods for assessing present‐day and past biota          下载免费PDF全文

Annegret Larsen  Nadir Alvarez  Christoph Sperisen  Stuart N. Lane 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(1):333-338

Geomorphology has increasingly considered the role of biotic factors as controls upon geomorphic processes across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Where timescales are long (centennial and longer), it has been possible to quantify relationships between geomorphic processes and vegetation using, for example, the pollen record. However, where the biotic agents are fauna, longer term reconstruction of the impacts of biological activity upon geomorphic processes is more challenging. Here, we review the prospect of using environmental DNA as a molecular proxy to decipher the presence and nature of faunal influences on geomorphic processes in both present and ancient deposits. When used appropriately, this method has the potential to improve our understanding of biotic drivers of geomorphic processes, notably fauna, over long timescales and so to reconstruct how such drivers might explain the landscape as we see it today. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

高台测震新旧台基记录地震及震相特征差异性对比分析          下载免费PDF全文

吴敏  雷正超  唐丽  毛磊  王志栋  李兴坚 《地震工程学报》2020,42(5):1141-1145,1158

使用相同带宽、同类型地震计BBVS-120观测记录数据，对高台地震台新旧观测山洞的台基环境噪声、地震监测能力及震相记录特征进行对比分析，结果表明，高台测震新山洞的地震监测水平优于旧山洞，部分地区新山洞对于核面反射波的记录更加清晰。  相似文献   

巢湖杭埠河流域湖相沉积物多指标揭示的全新世以来环境演变     

周慧  吴立  马春梅  管后春  孙小玲  路曙光  尚广春  汪勇  徐仪红  徐军  陈晔  鲍远航 《湖泊科学》2020,32(6):1869-1881

在巢湖杭埠河流域中的古湖盆中心——三河圩区获取28.6 m长的湖相岩芯（SZK1507孔），利用AMS¹⁴C测年技术建立可靠的地层年代序列，通过对SZK1507孔738 cm以上段湖相沉积物平均粒径、磁化率、总氮（TN）、总有机碳（TOC）及C/N的综合分析，高分辨率重建了巢湖杭埠河流域全新世以来的古环境演变过程.结果表明，本区域的环境变化过程可以分为4个阶段，阶段Ⅰ（约10050—9700 cal.a B.P.）与阶段Ⅲ（约9250—5300 cal.a B.P.）气候较为湿润，巢湖水位较高，平均粒径、磁化率值较低，TN、TOC、C/N也偏低；阶段Ⅱ（约9700—9250 cal.a B.P.）与阶段Ⅳ（约5300 cal.a B.P.以来）气候干燥，巢湖水量减少，水位降低，平均粒径、磁化率值、TN、TOC、C/N均较高.一些全球范围内显著发生的气候突变事件在SZK1507孔沉积记录中也有体现，如9.3、8.2和4.2 ka B.P.事件等.将巢湖杭埠河流域10000 cal.a B.P.以来的平均粒径、磁化率、TN、TOC、C/N沉积记录与全新世以来的北纬30°夏季太阳辐射量、太阳黑子数、火山喷发对大气中硫酸盐含量贡献率等进行对比，发现巢湖杭埠河流域全新世气候突变事件主要受控于北半球夏季太阳辐射量变化、太阳活动以及火山活动等因素，并与它们之间复杂的响应机制有关.  相似文献   

Collaborative Governance and Conflict Management: Lessons Learned and Good Practices from a Case Study in the Amazon Basin     

Joshua Fisher  Hannah Stutzman  Mariana Vedoveto  Debora Delgado  Ramon Rivero  Walter Quertehuari Dariquebe 《社会与自然资源》2020,33(4):538-553

Abstract

Given the linkages between natural resources and social conflicts, evidence increasingly shows that successful natural resource management requires conflict mitigation and prevention. However, there may be a gap in practice between knowing what processes and tools need to be used to manage conservation conflicts and how to actually implement them. We present learning from a practice-based case study of conflict management in the Amarakaeri Communal Reserve in the Peruvian Amazon that aimed to develop natural resource governance institutions and build stakeholder capacity, including of indigenous groups, to navigate existing conflict resolution mechanisms. Through applying good practices in conservation conflict management and collaborative governance, we generated important lessons on the practical considerations involved in collaborative conservation. These lessons, while specific to our case, could be applied to a variety of protected areas facing complex social-ecological systems dynamics and wicked problems.  相似文献   

天山雪岭云杉个体生物量分配及其变化规律的研究          下载免费PDF全文

罗庆辉  许仲林  徐泽源  李路  常亚鹏  徐昕亿  宋昕妮 《干旱区地理》2019,42(6):1378-1386

为了探讨天山雪岭云杉林生物量在个体组织中的分配情况及其变化规律，在研究区进行了大量的野外测量，利用已有的雪岭云杉林估算方程，分析了天山雪岭云杉林生物量在各器官（干、枝、叶、皮、根）中的分配及其变化规律。结果表明：（1） 研究区雪岭云杉林的平均生物量为388.74 t·hm^-2，树木各器官中，干、枝、根、叶和皮分别占生物量的43.65%、28.60%、13.49%、11.08%和3.18%。（2）各径级生物量所占百分比为：33.53%（40~50 cm）、20.13%（20~30 cm）、19.59%（30~40 cm）、18.19%（50~60 cm）和2.05%（10~20 cm）；树木生物量在不同树高中的分配表现为：48.78%（20~30 m）＞35.27%（10~20 m）＞14.70%（30~40 m）＞1.25%（0~10 m）；地上和地下生物量的分配比例为：87.54%和12.46%，分别为340.30 t·hm^-2和48.44 t·hm^-2。（3） 随海拔升高，天山雪岭云杉林生物量呈“单峰”变化，在海拔2 100~2 400 m处达到最大值611.58 t·hm^-2；干、皮生物量所占比例随海拔升高而减小，枝生物量逐渐增加，叶、根生物量呈先减小后增加的趋势；径级20~30 cm、30~40 cm和50~60 cm的生物量随海拔升高均呈“单峰型”变化趋势，都在海拔2 100~2 400 m处达到最大；雪岭云杉林不同树高生物量随海拔的升高呈现的趋势不同。天山雪岭云杉林生物量和年均降水量随经纬度的升高均呈降低变化，研究区林分生物量自西向东总体呈现逐渐降低的趋势；林分密度、海拔和降水共同决定了森林生物量的大小及其变化规律，海拔2 100~2 400 m是本研究区雪岭云杉林生长的最适宜场所。结果可为雪岭云杉林生态系统的恢复和重建提供基础资料，对研究区进行综合管理与生态健康分析具有重要意义。  相似文献   

Lakes of the Jom-Bolok Volcanoes Valley in the East Sayan Mts., Baikal region     

Shchetnikov  Alexander  Bezrukova  Elena V. 《地理学报(英文版)》2019,29(11):1823-1840

Journal of Geographical Sciences - This article describes the lake basins of the Jom-Bolok volcanic region in the East Sayan (the largest manifestation of the Holocene eruptions in Central Asia)....  相似文献   

Fostering Environmental Sensitivity by Observing Everyday Environments     

Minsung Kim 《The Journal of geography》2019,118(4):157-168

This study examined the effects of observing and reflecting on everyday environments in the development of environmental sensitivity, defined as a holistic capability composed of predisposition, knowledge, and behavior subdimensions. We encouraged participants to use diverse sources, such as texts, photographs, and animation, to record their observations and thinking. As a result, the activity in this study was beneficial in enhancing students’ environmental sensitivity. Students’ mean scores on the environmental sensitivity questionnaire improved, and their reflective journals reported increased interest in everyday environments, enhanced knowledge about diverse environmental elements, and strengthened will to act pro-environmentally. The usefulness of the geospatial platform was also reported.  相似文献   

大凌河河口地区中更新世晚期以来沉积环境演化     

商志文  李建芬  姜兴钰  李琰  王宏 《地质学报》2020,94(8):2433-2445

大凌河河口地区LZK06孔40m以浅岩心的沉积学、古生物学和年代学等综合研究以及该地区LZK02- 04钻孔资料，揭示了研究区中更新世晚期以来经历了两次海侵- 海退旋回，依次形成了中更新世晚期湖相/河流相 SymbolnB@ 晚更新世海相- 湖相/河流相 SymbolnB@ 全新世海相- 河流相地层。全新世早中期由于物源供给很少，研究区处于长达约10ka的饥饿滞留相沉积环境，平均沉积速率仅约0. 02~0. 05cm/a。全新世晚期约1500a cal BP以来，由于人类活动导致水土流失，河流输砂量增加，研究区开始了快速加积过程，平均沉积速率约0. 9~1. 2cm/a，下辽河平原被快速充填，开始成陆。与全球海面变化时空分布特征的对比，推断辽东湾的第II海相层发育于MIS 5- MIS 3早期，第I海相层发育于MIS 1阶段高海面时期。晚更新世以来频繁的海面升降是辽东湾泥质海岸带地层和环境演化的主要控制因素。  相似文献   

New Modes of Environmental Governance in Greater Sage-Grouse Conservation in Oregon     

Katherine Wollstein  Emily Jane Davis 《社会与自然资源》2020,33(5):555-573

Abstract

Natural resource challenges often span administrative jurisdictions and include actors and processes operating at different spatial and political scales. We applied concepts of new environmental governance to analyze Oregon’s approach to greater sage-grouse conservation. Through one in-depth case study in Lake County, we traced features of new environmental governance (cross-scale interactions, decentralization, and capacities of actors) through different governance levels. Interviews and qualitative analysis revealed that decentralization of administrative functions facilitated cross-scale interactions and relied on intermediaries, gap-filling, and perceptions of legitimacy at lower levels. State and agency guidelines steered the effort and were accompanied by financial and technical resources from multiple arenas, which increased local capacity. This study adds to the understandings of environmental governance for implementing multi-actor, multi-level conservation arrangements in resource-dependent communities. Further exploration of connections between higher levels and local contexts will reveal important, new ways to link policies with on-the-ground outcomes.  相似文献